TRUMPCLAIM TRACKER

TCT-ECO-001 · Inflation

“Worst inflation in our nation’s history”

FalseStatement: 2024-09-10Record reviewed: 2026-09-15

Statement and context

“We have inflation like very few people have ever seen before. Probably the worst in our nation’s history. We were at 21%.”

September 10, 2024, presidential debate, Philadelphia.

What the evidence shows

The broad CPI’s largest 12-month increase during the Biden administration was 9.1% in June 2022, not 21%. BLS’s historical CPI series shows substantially higher inflation in earlier periods, including 1917–1920; annual inflation also exceeded the 2022 peak in the 1970s and early 1980s. Individual categories rose more than 21% over multiyear windows, but that is not the economy-wide inflation rate.

False. The quoted national inflation rate and historical superlative are contradicted by BLS data.

Sources and attribution

Tracker research synthesis; inspect the linked evidence and research record.

  1. BLS, CPI June 2022
  2. BLS, historical CPI-U

Open the research record