TRUMPCLAIM TRACKER

TCT-IMM-025 · Immigration

Illegal immigration caused the post-pandemic car-insurance spike

FalseStatement: 2026-06-22Record reviewed: 2026-09-15

Statement and context

Biden-era illegal immigration “caused Auto Insurance Premiums to reach RECORD HIGHS,” while the administration’s immigration crackdown caused premiums to fall.

2026-06-22, Truth Social post.

What the evidence shows

Premiums rose largely because driving and serious crashes rebounded after pandemic shutdowns while vehicle parts, repairs, medical care and replacement vehicles became more expensive. Industry analysis cited by AP estimated immigration’s contribution at about 0.07%. BLS reported motor-vehicle insurance prices down 5.1% over the year ending August 2026, but that timing does not establish Trump’s claimed causal mechanism.

False

Sources and attribution

Tracker research synthesis; inspect the linked evidence and research record.

  1. AP fact check
  2. BLS Consumer Price Index table
  3. BLS motor-vehicle insurance methodology

Open the research record