TCT-IMM-026 · Crime
Trump delivered the largest murder-rate drop ever recorded
Statement and context
“In 2025, we achieved the largest drop in the murder rate ever recorded in the history of our country … and the lowest murder rate in 125 years.”
2026-07-31, remarks at a Cabinet meeting at Camp David.
What the evidence shows
The FBI reported an 18.1% murder-rate decline in 2025 to 4.1 per 100,000, tied with 1955 and 1956 for the lowest national estimate in its series; the numerical core is supported. But the national decline began in 2022 and continued through 2023 and 2024, before Trump returned to office. Crime researchers identify multiple local and national factors, so the data do not isolate the new administration as the cause.
Misleading
Sources and attribution
Tracker research synthesis; inspect the linked evidence and research record.